FXUS62 KTBW 171303 AAA AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 903 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013 .AVIATION...GOES-R IFR/LIFR PROB PRODUCTS NICELY OUTLINED A LARGE AREA OF STRATUS AND FOG THAT ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF N/CEN FL GENERALLY FROM I-4 NORTHWARD AND THEN WELL UP THE ATL COAST. THE FOG WAS DRIFTING SOUTH OVERNIGHT BUT HAS STOPPED JUST SHORT OF LAL. THEREFORE ALL TAF SITES HAVE REMAINED AT VFR LEVEL AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE DAY AS MOISTURE DEPTH REMAINS VERY LIMITED. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT BUT OVERALL PROB OF OCCURRING AT ANY TAF SITE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO RESTRICT VISIBILITIES. MORE OF AN ESE FLOW TONIGHT WILL BE LESS FAVORABLE FOR A REPEAT OF THE FOG BANK APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. && .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 537 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013/ SHORT TERM (TODAY-FRIDAY)... MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE REGION WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE EASTERN STATES ON FRIDAY. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WELL OUT IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE WEST SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA...BUT THIS TO WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. FOR TODAY WE WILL SEE SOME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EFFECT THE NATURE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH ONLY A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE PINNED CLOSE TO THE COAST AND WITH THE RIDGING STILL IN PLACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES IN MOST AREAS. COULD BE CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS IN A FEW SPOTS ONCE AGAIN TODAY. TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME MORE LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AND THIS SHOULD BRING SOME MORE MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THE FLOW WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE LIGHTER ALLOWING THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND SOME DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINATION OF ADDED MOISTURE AND THE SEA BREEZE ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD CAUSE A COUPLE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO POP UP DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. ON FRIDAY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WHICH WILL PUSH THE BEST CHANCES OF CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING... BUT SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT COULD MAKE IT INTO OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES LATE IN THE DAY. FOR NOW HAVE LEFT THE 30 POPS FOR THE FAR NORTH AND 20 POPS ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES ONCE AGAIN...BUT CLOSE TO THE COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S THANKS TO THE FLOW BECOMING MORE OFF THE GULF. LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)... MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER FLORIDA FOR THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DRIVING THE FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST LEAVING A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME CONTINUED LIFT OVER THE BOUNDARY RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND UNSETTLED WEATHER. IT IS NOT UNTIL LATE MONDAY OR PERHAPS TUESDAY THAT HEIGHTS BEGIN TO BUILD AGAIN WHICH SHOULD HELP TO DRY US OUT A LITTLE. IN THE MEAN TIME THOUGH...IT LOOKS LIKE RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THEN PEAK ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH THE HELP OF SOME AFTERNOON HEATING. THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT AND ABSENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD KEEP ANY STORMS BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. AVIATION... MAINLY VFR NEXT 24 HOURS. A BRIEF PERIOD OF LOW CLOUDS AND/OR FOG IS POSSIBLE RIGHT AROUND SUNRISE TODAY THAT COULD RESULT IN AN HOUR OR TWO OF IFR CONDITIONS. A FEW LATE AFTERNOON SHOWERS OR STORMS ARE POSSIBLE NEAR FMY AND RSW. MARINE... EASTERLY FLOW WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHEAST ON THURSDAY AND THEN SOUTHERLY ON FRIDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES AWAY AND A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. THIS FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA DURING SATURDAY AND STALL JUST TO THE SOUTH SUNDAY. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH EXERCISE CAUTION...POSSIBLY ADVISORY CRITERIA... BEHIND THE FRONT LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY...OTHERWISE WINDS ARE FORECAST TO GENERALLY BE AROUND 15 KNOTS OR LESS AND SEAS LESS THAN 4 FEET. FIRE WEATHER... NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 89 70 86 70 / 10 0 20 20 FMY 91 68 89 70 / 20 10 20 20 GIF 88 66 89 70 / 10 0 20 20 SRQ 88 67 86 71 / 10 10 20 20 BKV 88 64 88 66 / 10 0 20 20 SPG 88 71 86 72 / 10 0 20 20 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...88/GITTINGER LONG TERM/AVIATION...88/GITTINGER  FXUS62 KTBW 171404 AAB AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1004 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013 .UPDATE... RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO INFLUENCE AREA WEATHER. EASTERLY FLOW MAY GIVE WAY TO THE SLIGHTEST SEA/BAY/LAKE BREEZE INFLUENCES...THOUGH THOSE SHOULD NOT STRAY TOO FAR FROM THE BODY OF WATER. BEST MOISTURE FOR SHOWERS CONTINUES TO BE IN FAR SOUTHERN SW FLORIDA...IN THE FORT MYERS AREA. CURRENT FORECAST APPEARS ON TRACK AND NO CHANGES ARE PLANNED IN THIS UPDATE. && .MARINE... HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE EAST AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM APPROACHING LATE IN THE WEEK. EASTERLY FLOW WILL SHIFT FROM SOUTH AND CAUTIONARY CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP WITH THE FRONT AT THE END OF THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. OUTSIDE CHANCE THAT A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED. && .PREV DISCUSSION... AVIATION... /ISSUED 903 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013/ GOES-R IFR/LIFR PROB PRODUCTS NICELY OUTLINED A LARGE AREA OF STRATUS AND FOG THAT ENCOMPASSES MUCH OF N/CEN FL GENERALLY FROM I-4 NORTHWARD AND THEN WELL UP THE ATL COAST. THE FOG WAS DRIFTING SOUTH OVERNIGHT BUT HAS STOPPED JUST SHORT OF LAL. THEREFORE ALL TAF SITES HAVE REMAINED AT VFR LEVEL AND WILL CONTINUE TO DO SO THROUGH THE DAY AS MOISTURE DEPTH REMAINS VERY LIMITED. SOME PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE TONIGHT BUT OVERALL PROB OF OCCURRING AT ANY TAF SITE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO RESTRICT VISIBILITIES. MORE OF AN ESE FLOW TONIGHT WILL BE LESS FAVORABLE FOR A REPEAT OF THE FOG BANK APPROACHING FROM THE NORTH. SHORT TERM (TODAY-FRIDAY)... /ISSUED 537 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013/ MID/UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE REGION WILL WEAKEN AND SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS A TROUGH MOVES INTO THE EASTERN STATES ON FRIDAY. AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WELL OUT IN THE ATLANTIC OCEAN WILL CONTINUE TO RIDGE WEST SOUTHWEST ACROSS THE AREA...BUT THIS TO WILL SHIFT SOUTH AND EAST AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST. FOR TODAY WE WILL SEE SOME LOW CLOUDS AND FOG EFFECT THE NATURE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING...OTHERWISE PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES ARE EXPECTED WITH ONLY A VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. THE LOW LEVEL EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD REMAIN STRONG ENOUGH TO KEEP THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE PINNED CLOSE TO THE COAST AND WITH THE RIDGING STILL IN PLACE TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONCE AGAIN CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S TO AROUND 90 DEGREES IN MOST AREAS. COULD BE CLOSE TO RECORD HIGHS IN A FEW SPOTS ONCE AGAIN TODAY. TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SOME MORE LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY FOG POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NATURE COAST. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. FOR THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL SHIFT TO A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY DIRECTION AND THIS SHOULD BRING SOME MORE MOISTURE NORTHWARD. THE FLOW WILL ALSO BE A LITTLE LIGHTER ALLOWING THE WEST COAST SEA BREEZE TO DEVELOP AND MOVE INLAND SOME DURING THE AFTERNOON. THIS COMBINATION OF ADDED MOISTURE AND THE SEA BREEZE ALONG WITH DAYTIME HEATING SHOULD CAUSE A COUPLE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO POP UP DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WARM WITH HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE MID 80S TO AROUND 90 AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. ON FRIDAY THE LOW LEVEL FLOW WILL BECOME MORE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WHICH WILL PUSH THE BEST CHANCES OF CONVECTION OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING... BUT SOME OF THE PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE COLD FRONT COULD MAKE IT INTO OUR FAR NORTHERN ZONES LATE IN THE DAY. FOR NOW HAVE LEFT THE 30 POPS FOR THE FAR NORTH AND 20 POPS ELSEWHERE. TEMPERATURES WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID 80S TO NEAR 90 DEGREES ONCE AGAIN...BUT CLOSE TO THE COAST SHOULD REMAIN IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S THANKS TO THE FLOW BECOMING MORE OFF THE GULF. LONG TERM (FRIDAY NIGHT-TUESDAY)... /ISSUED 537 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013/ MODELS ARE IN GENERAL AGREEMENT THAT A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL STALL OVER FLORIDA FOR THE WEEKEND. THE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH DRIVING THE FRONT WILL BE LIFTING OUT TO THE NORTHEAST LEAVING A BROAD CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE REGION. THIS WILL LEAD TO SOME CONTINUED LIFT OVER THE BOUNDARY RESULTING IN A PROLONGED PERIOD OF CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS AND UNSETTLED WEATHER. IT IS NOT UNTIL LATE MONDAY OR PERHAPS TUESDAY THAT HEIGHTS BEGIN TO BUILD AGAIN WHICH SHOULD HELP TO DRY US OUT A LITTLE. IN THE MEAN TIME THOUGH...IT LOOKS LIKE RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT AS THE FRONT APPROACHES THEN PEAK ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH THE HELP OF SOME AFTERNOON HEATING. THE LACK OF ANY SIGNIFICANT UPPER-LEVEL SUPPORT AND ABSENCE OF A LOW-LEVEL JET SHOULD KEEP ANY STORMS BELOW SEVERE LIMITS. FIRE WEATHER... /ISSUED 537 AM EDT WED APR 17 2013/ NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 89 70 86 70 / 10 0 20 20 FMY 91 69 89 70 / 20 10 20 20 GIF 88 66 89 70 / 10 0 20 20 SRQ 88 67 86 71 / 10 10 20 20 BKV 88 64 88 66 / 10 0 20 20 SPG 88 72 85 73 / 10 0 20 20 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ UPDATE/MARINE...02/GARCIA AVIATION...88/GITTINGER DATA COLLECTION...74/WYNN  FXUS62 KTBW 151427 AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1027 AM EDT TUE OCT 15 2013 .DISCUSSION... LOW CLOUDS CONTINUE ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ZONES THIS MORNING WITH FOG STILL 1/2-1 MILE IN SOME PLACES BUT IMPROVING. GOES-R SHOWING CLOUD THICKNESS IS GETTING SHALLOWER...WITH GENERALLY 700FT OR LESS NOW ACROSS THE AREA. EXPECT THIS TO CONTINUE TO SLOWLY IMPROVE THROUGH THE REST OF THE MORNING...BUT HAVE LOWERED MAX TEMPS A FEW DEGREES ACROSS THAT AREA TO ACCOUNT FOR THE SLOW BURN-OFF AND HAVE ADJUSTED THE SKY GRIDS TO KEEP THE CLOUDS LINGERING. WILL UPDATE THE ZONES FOR THIS. && .AVIATION... LIFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES IN FOG WILL CONTINUE AT KTPA...KPIE...AND KLAL THROUGH MID-MORNING AND POSSIBLY SPREAD SOUTHWARD TO KSRQ BEFORE DISSIPATING. VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN TO ALL TAF SITES THIS AFTERNOON. && .MARINE... BUOYS SHOWING AROUND 10 KNOTS NEAR SHORE AND 10 TO 15 KNOTS OFFSHORE THIS MORNING FROM THE NE. SEAS ARE 2-3 FEET. EXPECT WINDS TO BECOME N/NW IN THE AFTERNOON ALONG THE COAST. CURRENT FORECAST HANDLES THIS WELL AND HAVE LITTLE CHANGE FOR THE UPDATE. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ SHORT TERM/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...24/COLSON LONG TERM/AVIATION...05/CARLISLE  FXUS62 KTBW 051530 AFDTBW AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL 1030 AM EST THU DEC 5 2013 .UPDATE... DEEP LAYER RIDGING IS IN PLACE ACROSS THE PENINSULA THIS MORNING...WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AS SEEN IN VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY. 12Z KTBW SOUNDING SHOWS SOME SHALLOW INSTABILITY BELOW A CAPPING INVERSION AROUND 775 MB. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO DEVELOP IN ALL AREAS...BUT NO RAIN IS EXPECTED AS THE CLOUD DEPTH WILL REMAIN TOO SHALLOW FOR SHOWER DEVELOPMENT. LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES SUGGEST NEAR RECORD HIGHS IN THE MID 80S IN LINE WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST...SO SEE NO REASON TO DEVIATE FROM THESE VALUES. UPDATE OUT SHORTLY. && .AVIATION... MORNING FOG AND LOW CIGS HAVE GIVEN WAY TO VFR CONDITIONS AREAWIDE. CONTINUE TO ANTICIPATE THE FORMATION OF A SEA BREEZE/BAY BREEZE AROUND THE TAMPA BAY TERMINALS...THOUGH OTHER TERMINALS COULD SEE THE SEA BREEZE NEAR THEM AS WELL. EXPECT RETURN OF LOW CLOUDS AND FOG OVERNIGHT. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... TPA 84 67 83 69 / 0 10 0 10 FMY 85 67 85 68 / 0 10 0 10 GIF 84 64 84 67 / 0 10 0 10 SRQ 83 66 82 67 / 0 10 0 10 BKV 85 62 84 63 / 0 10 0 10 SPG 83 68 81 69 / 0 10 0 10 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...NONE. GULF WATERS...NONE. && $$ UPDATE/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...JELSEMA AVIATION...GARCIA  FXUS62 KTBW 280410 AAA AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 1110 PM EST Tue Dec 27 2016 .UPDATE... Warm moist air overriding the cooler Gulf waters is supporting areas of dense sea fog over adjacent Gulf waters from Tarpon Springs north to the Suwannee River out 60nm. Based on surface observations and trends from GOES IFR probability have issued a marine dense fog advisory for the near and offshore waters mentioned above through 11 AM EST this morning. && .Prev Discussion... /issued 815 PM EST Tue Dec 27 2016/ EVENING UPDATE... Recent surface obs and RAP analyses depict an elongated area of surface high pressure draped from west to east across the peninsula. This feature will allow winds to become light and variable to calm overnight tonight into early Wednesday, promoting perhaps a better chance of fog than we have seen lately. As overnight temperatures fall to the dewpoint, expect fog will develop first along the Nature Coast and inland portions of northern and central Florida. Fog may then build southward toward morning. Fog will likely be dense in spots, especially north of I-4 closer to the center of the surface ridge and in areas where winds are weaker. This will certainly have an impact on travel overnight, but especially Wednesday morning. Be very cautious if you encounter any fog. Aside from the potential for reduced visibilities due to fog, the weather pattern remains generally quiet. Overnight lows will be quite mild at around 10 degrees above normal in the low to mid 60s. The existing forecast was in good shape. Only minor modifications were made to expand mention of fog and tweak PoPs. AVIATION (00z TAFs)... VFR conditions will persist through around 06z to 07z. Thereafter, as winds become light to calm, areas of fog will develop. Fog may be locally dense, especially along and north of I-4 near the center of the surface ridge. Will maintain MVFR vsbys most terminals, and introduce IFR vsbys at KPGD/KLAL. Fog should lift by 14z most areas with VFR conditions thereafter. MARINE... Patchy sea fog may be an issue for waters north of Tampa Bay overnight tonight into Wednesday afternoon. However, dense sea fog is not expected at this time. Surface high pressure will linger over the waters for the next couple of days, light winds to turn onshore with the seabreeze each afternoon. A strong cold front will move over the waters late Thursday into Friday, bringing a period of dangerous marine conditions. Winds of 20 to 25 knots and seas building to over 10 feet will result in dangerous boating conditions for several hours from late Thursday through the day on Friday. Conditions will improve by Saturday as high pressure quickly moves over the region, resulting in a return to southeasterly winds Sunday into the first half of next week. && .Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs... TPA 66 80 64 76 / 0 0 0 20 FMY 66 84 65 80 / 10 10 10 0 GIF 64 82 62 79 / 10 10 10 10 SRQ 64 81 62 75 / 10 0 0 10 BKV 60 81 57 77 / 0 0 10 20 SPG 66 80 64 76 / 10 0 0 20 && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. Gulf waters...Dense Fog Advisory until 11 AM EST Wednesday for Coastal waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 NM-Waters from Tarpon Springs to Suwannee River FL out 20 to 60 NM. && $$ UPDATE...57/McMichael EVENING UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...84/Austin  FXUS62 KTBW 051330 AFDTBW Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL 830 AM EST Sun Nov 5 2017 .FOR THE MORNING UPDATE... Widespread dense fog currently over portions of west central Florida and the nature coast will lift by mid morning. Fog has already begun to lift across Desoto and Hardee counties where the fog depth was rather shallow. With northeast boundary layer flow across the region, last areas to see low clouds/fog lift this morning will likely be over the the nature coast and Polk counties where depth is greatest...where it could be delayed until the late morning hours. Skies will become partly cloudy by this afternoon with continued warm dry conditions across the entire forecast area with temperatures climbing into the lower to mid 80s. && .TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM EST this morning for Coastal Citrus-Coastal Hernando-Coastal Hillsborough- Coastal Levy-Coastal Pasco-DeSoto-Hardee-Highlands- Inland Citrus-Inland Hernando-Inland Hillsborough- Inland Levy-Inland Manatee-Inland Pasco-Polk-Sumter. Gulf waters...None. && $$ UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...13/Oglesby UPPER AIR...63/Jillson DECISION SUPPORT...57/McMichael